Ethereum is at a pivotal point on the one
hand the SEC has been cracking down on staking And proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies and it's
believed that a Crackdown on defy and stable Coins is imminent this could do indirect damage
to eth on the other hand institutional adoption Of ethereum has been on the rise and in the
coming months it will undergo an upgrade that Could take almost all the market share away from
competing layer ones so in this video I'm going To bring you up to speed on ethereum's most
important updates analyze eth's price action Explain its upcoming upgrade and tell you why
eth could be on the brink of a boom or a bust I'll start by saying that nothing in this
video is financial advice it's purely for Educational purposes and you should consider
it to be just one of many resources you Ought to be Consulting on your cryptoquest
also note that I and other team members here At coinbureau hold eth in our personal portfolios
but we promise will be as unbiased as possible Now it's been more than five months since our last
ethereum update and a lot has happened since then Shortly after that video went live borrowing and
lending protocol Ave launched its V3 version on Ethereum theoretically leading to more eth
demand from crypto lenders and borrowers More about Ave in the description I digress
then in early February Russia's largest bank Spare Bank announced that it would be launching
a D5 protocol on ethereum by may this year now We couldn't find any news of the protocol
deploying but it is nonetheless a sign of Continued institutional adoption of ethereum For
Better or For Worse ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin also declared that eth is not a security
now this was believed to be in response to The rhetoric from SEC chairman Gary Gensler who
implied that eth was a security back in September On the same day of ethereum's transition from
proof of work to proof of stake in retrospect However it seems the Declaration foreshadowed an
SEC Crackdown on the staking services offered by Cryptocurrency exchanges that's because a few
days later Kraken announced that it had settled With the SEC for offering staking Services which
the regulator believes are securities offerings In mid-February there was speculation that the
SEC would use the precedent it had set with Kraken against liquid staking protocols like Lido
Finance in retrospect it seemed to foreshadow a Crackdown on coinbase which was sued early last
month due in part to the staking Services The Exchange offered there was however a silver lining
in the midst of all this mess and that's that the Number of ofac compliant blocks on ethereum's
Beacon chain had fallen below 50 percent For context over 70 of ethereum's blocks
were enforcing sanctions after the merge Today this figure stands at less than a third
censorship resistance up to a point in March Ethereum developers announced that EIP 4337 had
been successfully implemented eip-4337 also known As smart accounts makes it possible to introduce
features on ethereum that will lead to mass Adoption such as daps with no gas fees and making
mobile wallets as secure as Hardware wallets
You can learn more about why eip-4337 is such
a big deal for ethereum by checking out our In-depth video about it on coin Bureau Clips the
link will be down in the description now because The universe requires that all fomo be balanced
out with thud rumors started to circulate that Lido Finance had been served by the SEC in the
days that followed eip-4337 Lido subsequently Announced that it would be incorporating nfts into
its unstaking process for liquid staked eth this Is interesting because nfts have received next to
no regulatory scrutiny for whatever reason as such Lido leveraging nfts could have been a move to
protect the protocol from said regulatory scrutiny This could be circumstantial evidence of the rumor
that Lido was in the sec's crosshairs a rumor Which seems to have been just that that being said
uni swap V3 also represents liquidity provision Positions as nfts and uni swap founder Hayden
Adams recently posted an ominous tweet thread Probably nothing anyways in mid-april ethereum
finally completed its chappella upgrade making it Possible for validators to withdraw their staked
eth and staking Rewards for reference chappella Had experienced some delays and there were
concerns that the upgrade would result in lots Of each selling which could crash its price in
the end these concerns were entirely unjustified Although there was some eth selling after the
upgrade eth's price was unaffected in fact Eth's price pumped in the days following chappella
presumably because the upgrade had been a success It also effectively completed ethereum's
transition to proof of stake but because the Universe requires that all fomo be balanced out
with fud the SEC announced two days later that it Would be proposing a rule to expand the definition
of exchange to include D5 protocols the comment Period for the proposed rule closed on the 13th of
June if it is implemented defy could be in trouble Continued regulatory uncertainty around the
crypto industry is probably why institutional Investors have reportedly been getting exposure
to eth Via indirect products like eth Futures on The CME institutional interest in eth has surged
in recent months but it seems most investing has Been indirect now this could have less to do
with the regulatory uncertainty around Heath And staking and more to do with the fact that
Regulators have been picking off crypto to Fiat On and off ramps left and right obviously the
last thing institutions want to do is invest in Eth directly and not be able to cash out that said
some institutions haven't caved these regulatory Concerns at the end of April a subsidiary of
French Bank associate General announced the launch Of a euro-pegged stablecoin on ethereum meanwhile
retail investors were going crazy trading meme Coins like Pepe ah feel just like yesterday in
May though the thud came back with a vengeance First it was reported that the ethereum foundation
had sold some eth this was taken as a sign that Eth had hit a local top given that the foundation
does have a history of selling around local tops Of course it doesn't have a perfect track record
in this regard nobody does then less than a week Later ethereum's Beacon chain experienced
unexpected finality issues in plain English
Transactions couldn't confirm funnily enough it's
believed that the meme coin craze overloaded some Ethereum clients whatever the case the beacon
chain was quickly upgraded and all was well again That was until late May when vitalik warned the
ethereum community in a lengthy blog post not to Overload ethereum's consensus mechanism the tldr
is that putting too much functionality directly on Ethereum could compromise its security a claim
that's been made by many in the Bitcoin camp One week later ethereum wallets that had
been dormant since the crypto Project's Ico days started to move their eth to new wallets
thankfully it seems none of this eath was sent to Exchanges if it had been it would have signaled an
intention to sell by some of ethereum's earliest Investors unfortunately the same can't be said
for ethereum co-founder Jeffrey wilker who sent 22 000 eth to Kraken in early June presumably
to sell to put things into perspective this Accounted for more than 10 percent of Jeffrey's
Heath Holdings and he hadn't sent any eth to Exchanges in over two and a half years fortunately
though the universe also requires that all fud be Balanced out with fomo a subsidiary of the Bank
of China reportedly issued almost 30 billion Dollars of tokenized assets on ethereum Via Hong
Kong this was done with the help of a Swiss bank Underscoring institutional ethereum adoption in
both regions then in late June ethereum developers Announced they were discussing the possibility
of raising the maximum validator stake from 32 East to 2048. naturally this was met with no
shortage of fud namely centralization concerns When you think about it however you start to feel
massive fomo for starters the minimum 32eath stake Will stay the same all that's changing is the
maximum sake which is currently also 32 eth Now this is a problem because it means that
validators have to redirect their staking Rewards to other ethereum wallets they're not able
to accrue them in the validator wallets raising The maximum stake to 2048 means that validators
will be able to accrue staking rewards and it will Also open the door to automatically restaking
these eth rewards compounding in other words Given that there's nothing institutions love more
than earning yield this would likely result in Even more eth being staked the trade-off is that
the total number of validators on ethereum could Decline but consider did ethereum Speaker chain
currently has over 700 000 validators in theory More validators means more decentralization in
practice however more validators could mean more Synchronization issues the optimal number of
ethereum validators is Up For Debate but what We can all likely agree is that there is such a
thing as too few validators but there's also such A thing as too many the golden number is somewhere
in the middle and the 2048 eth limit is probably Intended to Target that number never mind that
the number of validators isn't always the best Measure of decentralization more about that in
the description anyhow speaking of staking vitalik Recently revealed that he's only staking a quote
small portion of his eth he said this is because Of security issues associated with staking and the
complex multi-sig setup required to address them
Creators of competing layer 1 kryptos were quick
to criticize not going to name names of course Now while I'm not qualified enough to speak
to the security issues associated with eth Staking or setting up complex multi-cigs
I do have a feeling that this might not be The only reason why vitalik isn't staking
too much of his Eve another reason could Be taxes try explaining staking income to
the tax man regardless there's no denying That vitalik's comments don't Inspire
too much confidence about staking eth As was mentioned in our weekly news review however
this is a part of ethereum's growing pains staking Issues ultimately mean that we're still early
and that eth still has a lot more room to grow On that note you might have noticed that eth is up
almost 2x since the start of the Year this is due To a combination of macro factors crypto factors
and fundamentals such as eth supply and eth demand The primary macro Factor has been liquidity
which had been positive for the first half Of the year for those unfamiliar liquidity is
another word for money that's in the markets Liquidity had been on the rise since January
because the debt ceiling had been reached this Forced the U.S government to spend money in the
economy as it couldn't issue debt there was also That de facto Bank bailout in March as well today
however the liquidity picture looks a bit more Mixed banks are reportedly borrowing billions
through the fed's btfp facility which is likely Increasing liquidity at the same time however
the U.S government has been issuing billions of Dollars of debt to refill its bank account at
the FED which is likely draining liquidity if You watched our video about the refill of the US
government's bank account you'll know that this Could suppress eth's price the same way it did
during the refill in early January 2022 thankfully This hasn't happened and that's probably because
the liquidity drain has been coming from elsewhere As far as crypto factors go there are two which
have been affecting eth's price the first is the Aforementioned shapella upgrade which was by all
accounts a great success as you can see eth's most Recent high of around 2.1 K was reached on the
same week that chappella went live the second Crypto Factor that's been affecting eth's price is
regulatory uncertainty at first glance this hasn't Had much of an effect on the price but when you
measure eth's price in BTC terms you can clearly See that it's been underperforming despite the
impressive pump in Fiat terms the bad news is that Eth's underperformance against BTC is likely to
continue until there's more regulatory certainty In the US and elsewhere the good news is that eth
could still see impressive gains in Fiat terms This assumes the crypto Market will
continue to Rally let's hope that it does When it comes to fundamentals eth's supply has
been deflationary more eth is being burned via Transaction fees than is being minted via
staking rewards the caveat is that eth's Deflationary Trend seems to be reversing if this
continues eth could become inflationary again in The coming weeks now this shouldn't be a problem
because each demand continues to be robust the
Amount of eth being staked continues to rise along
with the number of validators the number of unique Wallets on the ethereum blockchain also continues
to be in a strong uptrend 240 million and Counting At first glance the declining number of daily
transactions on ethereum is a bearish sign that's Until you remember that ethereum has an entire
ecosystem of layer twos that's been growing fast Lo and behold the number of transactions on these
layer twos has been spiking more than compensating For the short form now this raises the question
of whether all the layer 2 activity is enough to Create demand for eth given the low fees on these
layer twos the answer is yes if there is enough Activity on these layer twos and so far this seems
to be the case even so the gradual decrease in eth Burns could be a sign that activity as a whole is
slowly declining then again all it takes for this Activity to pick up again is another Trend be it
a meme coin craze or a reissued nft collection for Example these kinds of catalysts are impossible
to predict which is why it's better to focus on Upcoming milestones for ethereum that could send
eth's price higher as it so happens there are two The biggest upcoming milestone for ethereum
is the eip-4844 upgrade which is colloquially Referred to as proto-dank sharding the reason
why proto-dank sharding is a big deal is because It will basically allow ethereum to reach a level
of scalability that's comparable with centralized Computer systems this will be achieved by
addressing ethereum's main bottleneck to Scalability which is data availability as
explained by ethereum developer Proto in a Presentation this is because it's hard to request
transaction data on a cryptocurrency blockchain In a way that's both fast and decentralized
proto-denck sharding solves this by making it Possible for special Blobs of data to exist
on the ethereum blockchain these blobs make Transaction data more readily available which
should increase ethereum scalability lower its Fees and increase transaction speeds on its layer
twos that's the simple explanation be sure to Watch Proto's presentation if you want the complex
explanation the link will be in the description Now protodanksharding was first proposed as an EIP
in February 2022 and ethereum developers have been Working on implementing it since then primarily
developers from the optimism layer 2. eip-4844 is Expected to be implemented sometime in the second
half of this year but no exact date has been given Besides proto-danksharding ethereum developers
have apparently been hyper focused on privacy Back in January vitalik penned a blog post where
he referred to privacy as quote one of the largest Remaining challenges in the ethereum ecosystem
and proposed stealth addresses as one solution In April privacy on ethereum came into the
spotlight again because of supposed privacy Concerns related to eth staking just last month
vitalik penned another blog post where he noted Privacy as being one of the quote three
transitions that ethereum must implement Or else it will fail the sudden focus on
privacy is not all that surprising when You realize that institutional investors
want privacy more than anyone else and
Remember that the chappella upgrade has
increased institutional interest in eth The trick is to implement this privacy in a
way that doesn't get delisted from exchanges In case you haven't noticed crypto privacy isn't
all that popular with Regulators regardless of the Country and even regardless of the cryptocurrency
case in point Litecoin was delisted from South Korean exchanges after it implemented its
privacy preserving sidechain last year Litecoin The unprecedented regulatory environment we've
seen since the start of the year is only going to Make implementing privacy on ethereum that much
more difficult this is probably why ethereum's Privacy Solutions have centered around layer twos
but this could still cause issues as we've seen With Litecoin this brings us to the challenges
ethereum faces and the first is regulation or Rather lack thereof until there's regulatory
Clarity in the U.S and elsewhere it's going to Be hard for eth to reach its new all-time highs
that's because institutional investors will be Hesitant to deploy Capital directly into eth it's
not just the institutional investors either it Looks like retail investors risk losing access
to things like staking and not just in the US Singapore is reportedly discussing a proposal that
would prevent retail investors from staking and Countries such as Canada have introduced limits
on retail crypto investing for what it's worth Any regulation will be good regulation in the long
run that's because as soon as a baseline has been Established institutional interests will be able
to Lobby Regulators in the direction they want Regulations to go we believe that institutions
will eventually Lobby to preserve on-chain Privacy this will benefit retail investors but
it assumes they won't be completely priced out of These privacy layers and this ties into the Second
Challenge ethereum faces and that's centralization Not at the base layer but at the layer 2 level
you see as ethereum fees continue to rise layer 2 Usage will increase as we mentioned in our video
about bitcoin's ordinals nfts and brc20 tokens Most layer 2 scaling Solutions including bitcoin's
lightning Network are surprisingly centralized This means that they're not all that different
from the existing Financial system and this is Where many retail users could end up this is a
problem because it means that retail crypto users Could eventually lose their Financial Freedom
on chain it would defeat the entire purpose Of cryptocurrency take a second to consider
that coinbase's layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum will reportedly be compliant with AML
regulations the trade-off in this case is that Regulatory Compliance will make these layer
2 scaling solutions that much more appealing To institutional investors some would say it
would be rational to take any gains made from These layer twos and stick them on a layer 1 that
can't be as easily controlled but hey who knows And this relates to the third challenge ethereum
faces and that's competition if retail users do Get priced out of using ethereum itself they could
start switching to ethereum competitors to ensure That they retain their Financial Freedom on chain
this could also happen for other reasons such as
Staking issues from our perspective however the
biggest blow to ethereum would be if something Happened to its more centralized middleware I'm
referring to ethereum infrastructure such as Inferior which has a history of complying with U.S
sanctions inferior has also experienced outages on Two occasions now for those who don't know why
this is such a big problem infuria provides RPC Endpoints for metamask one of the most popular
web 3 wallets in the world both infuria and Metamask are operated by a centralized company
consensus Joe Lubin happens to be the founder and CEO of consensus and you'll recall that he's
been reiterating that eth is not a security Consensus itself has also been issuing similar
statements and recently spoke out against the Sec's defy rules on the off chance that the SEC
is insane enough to go after eth infuria could Restrict retail ethereum usage in the U.S the
worst part though is that the SEC doesn't even Have to go after eth to do damage if the exchange
definition is expanded in fuhrer and metamask Could again be in the crosshairs believe it or
not but if either of these black swans did happen It would be bullish for ethereum in the long term
that's because it would force the entire ethereum Ecosystem back towards decentralization something
that's been slowly happening ever since regulatory Scrutiny of crypto began last year obviously these
black swans would be bearish for ethereum in the Short term but the Silver Lining is that it would
be even more bearish for competing layer ones Which are facing even more regulatory scrutiny
than ethereum this could paradoxically result In more money flowing into eth from other alts
this is all but guaranteed if protodanksharding Delivers on its promises the only reason why there
are competing layer ones is because ethereum isn't Cheap or scalable enough for most people to use
this will change after eip-4844 is implemented And it should result in significant flows into
eth from other layer ones in some then ethereum Is truly at a Crossroads with unreasonable
regulations on one hand and unprecedented adoption On the other regardless of the path it goes down
in the short term the long-term destination is The same eth reaching new all-time highs and
revolutionizing the financial system and you can Find out how high institutional investors think
eth will go using the link in the description And that's all for today's video folks if you
found it informative let me know by Smashing That like button if you want to make sure you
don't miss our next crypto update subscribe To the channel and ping that notification
Bell if you know any eth or BTC Maxis why Not share this video with them and piss them
both off and if you're looking for a safe place To store your eth or somewhere to trade it
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watching and I'll see you next time
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